Boris Johnson se konferensietoespraak: wat hy gesê het en wat hy bedoel het

Boris Johnson let the bombast flow as he delivered a speech designed to buoy Tory activists despite their nerves about the forthcoming national insurance increase and the risk of dangerously high levels of inflation.

In a specially constructed auditorium, the prime minister announced only one new policy – spending the remainder of his 45-minute address fleshing out in colour and tone how he plans to hold on to the swathes of voters who voted Conservative for the first time at the last election and meandering between some of his other favourite subjects.

This is what he said – and its significance:

Johnson knew the pressure was on to start implementing what some Tories say is a nebulous concept that has not been fleshed out in the nearly two years since the last election. He chose not to – given the white paper on levelling up is expected to be produced within months and also mindful of saving some fanfare for the budget and spending review. Unlike the chancellor, Rishi Sunak, who used his speech this week to effusively pay tribute to his Tory predecessors’ management of public finances, Johnson instead took aim at prime ministers over the past few decades – including three Konserwatiewes – in an effort to disassociate himself from their austerity drive, and reinvent the party. Johnson specifically name-checked Buckinghamshire as a region that has been levelled up – a careful choice, given it was home to the Chesham and Amersham constituency where a huge Tory majority was overturned at the byelection in June.

The Conservatives have always claimed to be safe stewards of the NHS and Johnson clearly tried to take this narrative further. He understands its salience to Labour voters and wants to be seen to praise it, particularly in the light of Covid. Recalling his own personal experience being hospitalised with Covid in March 2020, Johnson wanted to show he had an emotional connection with one of the nation’s most beloved institutions. Egter, he sought to manage expectations, also admitting that waiting lists will go up before they come down.

Johnson threw his supporters some red meat by signalling he was seriously concerned about the creep of culture wars – though seemed to blame the “woke” re-examination of historical figures for this, rather than allies on his own side stoking the flames. Some Conservatives feel that they have a better chance of captivating disaffected former Labour voters by appearing in step with them on social issues – be it statues, trans rights or taking the knee – so Johnson showed he is not afraid to plough this furrow further.

Aware of the fragile coalition of voters he must hold together – traditional low-tax Tories and newer supporters who want higher public spending – Johnson was at this point speaking to the former. His full-throated defence of capitalism and praise of bankers was meant to encourage wealth creators to stick with the party, and probably help top up its coffers with donations. Egter, the prime minister’s lavish praise for the private sector in helping produce the AstraZeneca vaccine was notably more restrained than comments he made in private to Tory MPs earlier this year, when he credited “greed”.

Johnson is most in his element when he’s insulting the opposition – reaching for the most bizarre and colourful metaphor that will leave supportive spectators howling. To keep up the energy in the room, the prime minister reached for ever-more odd descriptions of Keir Starmer. But his more serious intention was to try to brand Starmer as hamstrung by his party and therefore unreliable on policy – subject to the whims of divided Labour members.

The single most important message Johnson wanted to hammer home was that the government has been delivering on pledges made in 2019, despite the obvious distraction of dealing with Covid. Tories are restless when it comes to the rollout of gigabit broadband – aware that in an increasingly digital age, the difference in internet speed significantly holds back some parts of the country more than others. Pointing to the success that has been achieved in bringing that gap was one of the key ways Johnson tried to demonstrate ministers were – in the words of the conference’s slogan – “getting on with the job”.

Citing the former prime minister Margaret Thatcher is usually a guaranteed way at Conservative conference to get a rip-roaring round of applause, and Johnson reached for that to try to defend raising national insurance to pay for getting through the NHS backlog and social care. Despite professing himself to be a low-tax Tory, Johnson knows many of his MPs believe he has abandoned “Conservatism” – so what better way to try to paper over that than by invoking Thatcher, who redefined the term herself?

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