Better air in lockdown may have saved hundreds of lives in Europe, 研究发现

多于 800 lives may have been saved across Europe thanks to better air quality in the first phase of Covid lockdowns, 研究表明.

Measures brought in to stem the rise in infections resulted in far fewer cars and lorries on roads, which had the biggest impact on reducing deaths, according to the study led by experts from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM).

Analysis of 47 European cities found Paris, 伦敦, Barcelona and Milan were among the top six with the highest number of avoided deaths. The study noted that closing workplaces and schools in European cities reduced levels of air pollution through less traffic and movement, while public events were cancelled and people stayed at home.

This led to less nitrogen dioxide (NO2) polluting the air, with Spanish, French and Italian cities experiencing the biggest decreases in NO2 的 50% 到 60% during the period.

Although strong decreases in NO2 were found, there was a smaller drop in levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), which are also produced by natural sources – such as wildfires and dust – and other emissions.

Antonio Gasparrini, a professor of biostatistics and epidemiology at LSHTM and senior author of the study, 说: “The lockdown during the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic created immense health and social costs. 然而, it has offered unique conditions to investigate potential effects of strict policies to reduce pollution levels in urban areas.

“This ‘natural experiment’ has given us a glimpse of how air quality can be improved by drastic public health measures that would be difficult to implement in normal times. The information can be important to design effective policies to tackle the problem of pollution in our cities.”

这个调查, published in Nature’s Scientific Reports journal, was funded by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on behalf of the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service. It compared government policies from the 47 European cities from February to July 2020 and estimated the changes in pollution levels and number of deaths.

Rochelle Schneider, an honorary assistant professor in geospatial data science at LSHTM and first author of the study, 说: “这个, and other similar studies, can help drive the message that we definitely need to improve urban air quality for human health, and for the environment.

“Government policies decided during the spring and early summer of 2020 gave us a unique opportunity to study a ‘real-life’ scenario with lower air pollution levels.”

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